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Re: PREDICT NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: COMMANDERS @ EAGLES - Fried Eagles in Philly...the NFCCG!

Posted: Tue Jan 21, 2025 4:48 pm
by PeterMP
I think you can give up yards to Barkley and still win the game. I'm not selling out against the run, especially (as was the case with the Rams) if you do and he breaks through, he can easily go all of the way. I don't think we have anybody on defense that is running Barkley down.

One key is to limit the big plays.

If your offense is working, we can give Barkley lots of yards and still win the game. The first game, he had 146 yards, but they only scored 26 points. We had 8 possessions where we didn't score (5 punts, 1 interception, 1 on downs, and one with a very little bit of time at the end of the 1st half), so it isn't even like they limited our possessions despite running the ball well. We only scored on 3 out of 11 possessions that game. They have a really good defense, but that can't happen if you are going to win on Sunday. If we score on half our possessions, we can give up 146 yards to Barkley and win the game.

(Also, Hurts has the 6th highest sack rate this year. He doesn't turn the ball over much, but he will hold the ball and is taking sacks. We need to get some sacks on Sunday. That's one way you can give up yards to Barkley and still get stops.)

Re: PREDICT NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: COMMANDERS @ EAGLES - Fried Eagles in Philly...the NFCCG!

Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2025 10:11 am
by Warhead36
PeterMP wrote: Tue Jan 21, 2025 4:48 pm I think you can give up yards to Barkley and still win the game. I'm not selling out against the run, especially (as was the case with the Rams) if you do and he breaks through, he can easily go all of the way. I don't think we have anybody on defense that is running Barkley down.

One key is to limit the big plays.

If your offense is working, we can give Barkley lots of yards and still win the game. The first game, he had 146 yards, but they only scored 26 points. We had 8 possessions where we didn't score (5 punts, 1 interception, 1 on downs, and one with a very little bit of time at the end of the 1st half), so it isn't even like they limited our possessions despite running the ball well. We only scored on 3 out of 11 possessions that game. They have a really good defense, but that can't happen if you are going to win on Sunday. If we score on half our possessions, we can give up 146 yards to Barkley and win the game.

(Also, Hurts has the 6th highest sack rate this year. He doesn't turn the ball over much, but he will hold the ball and is taking sacks. We need to get some sacks on Sunday. That's one way you can give up yards to Barkley and still get stops.)
I think that's been our general defensive strat this year: "we'll let you run on us, knowing that all it takes is one 1st down run of less than 3 yards to derail you, and knowing that eventually we're gonna score and force you to throw, and that's when we can really capitalize." It worked against Detroit with all the takeaways. We'll see if it works again.

Re: PREDICT NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: COMMANDERS @ EAGLES - Fried Eagles in Philly...the NFCCG!

Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2025 10:46 am
by Simmsy
Pure speculation here, but word on the street is that Hurts has a mild MCL tear in his knee. If that is true, he won't be running much and if he does, we'll make him pay. He doesn't want to get hurt again and I don't expect him to try our defense, seeing as to what happened to him last time. If that is the case, we can basically do what we did last game and win...like everyone else already has said...

Of course, the game will go easier than last time without 5 turnovers, but I feel good. Doesn't mean we're going to win, but we no longer have any reason to go into any game with a fear of losing. Doesn't matter who when play, when or where, this team can compete.

Re: PREDICT NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: COMMANDERS @ EAGLES - Fried Eagles in Philly...the NFCCG!

Posted: Wed Jan 22, 2025 1:50 pm
by Warhead36
Simmsy wrote: Wed Jan 22, 2025 10:46 am Pure speculation here, but word on the street is that Hurts has a mild MCL tear in his knee. If that is true, he won't be running much and if he does, we'll make him pay. He doesn't want to get hurt again and I don't expect him to try our defense, seeing as to what happened to him last time. If that is the case, we can basically do what we did last game and win...like everyone else already has said...

Of course, the game will go easier than last time without 5 turnovers, but I feel good. Doesn't mean we're going to win, but we no longer have any reason to go into any game with a fear of losing. Doesn't matter who when play, when or where, this team can compete.
The practice reports will be telling. He did not like he could move very much if at all at the end of the game, and the Eagles were fortunate the Rams fumbled the game away (literally).

I'm treating them like as if Pickett was playing either way. Stack the hell out of the box and put our CBs on an island and dare them to beat us passing. I am not letting Barkley run for 150+ if their passing game isn't a legitimate threat.